One , save for
If price rises continuously in day in a narrow range to fall , on chart, forming one have , is covered with the view of foundation stake as architectural domain, on habit, call dense district, namely the district of tech support that expert says , this dense district once break through upward under trend, will cause a strong flame to rush for day liter tendency or mercury Xie land fall tendency. Participate in futures trading , must note such opportunity.
Why can the breakthrough"Save for a". Like volcano, blazing rock is starched carry out force with hard the earth's crust contest , contain to recover for a long time, the energy gathered is the more big, one has erupted , drive off Yao move land. In dense district forms process, leaves empty to be at war , it is intense to refuse to give in. Since range is narrow, no matter do bull do nominal still, in dense district, it is profitless , loses the meaning of flat storehouse. Therefore, do not level storehouse contract amass surely the more the more. Big household or collect actively, distribute or waiting a chance. Dense district is lateral to develop , on sunny horizon being pregnant with the sea surface of storm and calmness take off rise undercurrent. Dense district is pulled the more long along time coordinate, to. Go up or downward outbreak force is big.
When dense district breaks balance of
It is first, when dense district disposition Ji for a long time, trade person gets the upper hand do not forgive person, it is fierce to raise the price , continues the triumphant pursuit; The road of tradeWww, irich, com, cn www.irich.infoCollect
It is second, in dense district, forming
3th sees the person of wrong direction in dense
Because of the combination of 3 kinds of strength, cause the tendency after dense district breakthrough to have the characteristic with big range and rapid speed. This range, speed and the length in time coordinate of dense district are in direct ratio.
Because of dense district brew need , waiting for breakthrough to want have patience. If in dense district unknown break through upward or downward have rashly into city such as gamble, drag and can be impatient , feel that teacher has no merit always, arrive a numb, suddenly big city to opposite direction development disaster faces head. First take mountain sight brave cup no better than, stay with ease Lao, the next good instruction sheet of price limit has broken through a plate of department, is just caught up without difficulty.
2, conclude
Let beg , is economic, political to wait for basic factor, undoubtedly influence God of futures price since. But in the final analysis, decision rises the strength that falls or the business campaign from market. The sharp many factors that cause a sensation again , if not take action into city, quotations will not be mad to rise: Again major sharp empty news presses to sell if having not changed , price has no way of slumping. And buy air and sell the size that presses , through conclude quantity and price rise everyday to fall range has reflected. Measure price analysis, essence is power and direction analysis; It is power to conclude quantity, price tendency is direction.
According to the general"Everybody", express that liter tendency is"Bent"Extent, this is big city looks"Wall pours", show to fall tendency wind cloud beginning; Price extends to fall , but it is the more little to conclude quantity to shrink the more, reflection falls tendency has had no almost to enter dare follow , this is big city turns round signal.
Tendency has no subjective go up top or base. So-called top and base are that from market, business campaign is objective to form. Claim base, is from the overall confidence of trade person namely popularity decision. If price tendency has made day price conclude quantity have again made the words of day quantity, explain that plenty of trade persons value rear city and vigorously into city"Universal", in day, price
Quantity price analysis can not be the simple contrast of today and yesterday, so, can't see its continuity. Must come for one week , come in one month , 30 comes quantity price moves mutual information makes detailed assessment, from quantity price change see it in the past now, combination its past and current analysis its future. At the same time, will understand: Conclude the increase of quantity or decreasing will not change the direction of price fluctuation, and can aggravate or mitigate the rising of price only or is declining. Since each trade includes buying and selling , it is the sum of business contract to conclude quantity. It is many to conclude quantity to be not the person that points to buy or there are the person that sells. Liter tendency explains merely that buyer is willing to close the business with high price, fall tendency is to express that seller is willing in order to close the business with low price. Power and direction are two different matters , can not be obscured , only so, quantity price analysis can just bring the inspiration with constructive for us for the forecast of rear city.
The countermeasure
Chief analyst says my friend summer sea: It is been often that futures tendency is not: The big liter tendency that leans to one side or fall tendency. Is situated between Hu a liter tendency and between fall tendency, between or two liter tendencies, or two between fall tendency, can often arise a quotations that rises and falls and rises and falls again and again.
So-called relapse rises and falls and rises and falls , denotes price wander in a narrow area, being close to upper limit return to fall , meet lower limit to again turn rise, back and forth is shuttle, lateral to develop. See from graph, quite picture the case of musical instrument of accordion, so, this is again claimed"Case".
Rising and falling and rising and falling again and again the reason of arising is that have no obvious sharp many or sharp empty newses on market, quotations the clear basis of losing unidirectional development , no matter buy home or sell domestic basically low-down long term investment, do short line speculation only, both sides are in to pull saw state , you come I go , who can not also take last phoenix.
The ball in my student land training a lot of students just begin , is accustomed to in the quotations of unilateral city, a straight road goes after all, meet relapse to rise and fall quotations, often quilt"Left one already", dozen has to
On relapse, the guidance tactics that falls down to the business in city is short line. Because the distance between last lower limit is not large , and as soon as to upper limit, turning round to go downward, as soon as touching lower limit, raise later upward, profit opportunity one Zong pass , must see advantage receive , as soon as coveting , will compensate money.
Specific countermeasure is: Have judged fall down to city on a relapse afterwards, being close to lower limit buying to enter do is bull, it is made that rising upper limit level storehouse to sell , and backhand does nominal. Fall again to lower limit , and level storehouse flat storehouse, and on the contrary, it is bull to turn to do.
Such a kind of tactics is emphatic and flexible with flexibility. One goes to upper limit or lower limit will change direction at once , otherwise will bamboo basket dozen waters are empty. So, this may be covered only, it is taken off immediately that after city, flat storehouse sheet turns over the new sheet that turns to want"Arrive"Rush to
When this must point out , on relapse, it is a kind of temporary state to fall down to city, break through or break through downward upward can appear sooner or later. So, when going to short line, will also notice to set up to stop to harm. Buy to enter afterwards, fall to break lower limit surrenders; After short sales, barging through upper limit agree to pay.
Actually, the best practice tolerate not do. On relapse falling down to city to do not want do , catch up until breaking through or breaking through downward upward to just go. Problem is: Have you this patience?
4 using technical
In option market, again relentless liter tendency is also impossible to rush at one go on top, again miserable strong fall tendency a also difficult straight line falls after all, intermediate will surely want to endure to dull. Have dulled to develop the rise of new a wave or fall. It is this to dull , on terminology, call to be technical to adjust.
Technical adjustment is caused by 3 kinds of strength: One is flat for part to have the trade person of floating profit to do to profit storehouse, it is technical to buy plate or selling plate make big city get to turn over the pressure of direction; 2 is that the trade person who has floating loss partially adopts average price tactics, add dead yard , make tendency arise complications; 3 has person to feel"This wave", carry out brief
Technical adjustment has offered one to us to go to the opportunity
The appearance of technical adjustment also have signal may seek. For instance in rising tendency, succession pulls red line on 3th, but one is shorter than the a , rises to decrease by degrees day by day; Or company rise many days afterwards, come one opens low receipt high, pulling one have the dark line of shadow line, these move show liter will the signal that will be adjusted. Conversely, in decrease tendency, succession pulls dark line on 3th, but one is shorter than one, fall decreases by degrees day by day; Or company fall with many days afterwards, come one is low and open high to receive , pulling one have the red line of shadow line, these show to fall will want the omen of rebound. Taking advantage of liter tendency to appear do nominal when adjusting , or grasp to fall tendency appearance rebound does is bull, conform with to obey the principle that city is all right. Even former a stage has caught liter tendency or fall the opportunity of tendency, again take advantage of the department of adjustment to sell or turn over on the contrary to buy, that may reach really"Pick watermelon"The most
Make business using technical adjustment can only do short"Average"Utilization, have gone to this price, approximately drawn game, they will hurry to level storehouse , is away from site. You can't covet too, quotations one turns round to return to general orientation , become"Covet sesame".
In no matter rise tendency process falls still the technical adjustment in tendency process, the change of not meaning general orientation, when arising adjustment, the basic factor of big city has not changed , market popularity has not changed on strategy, chart tendency has not changed on whole, therefore adjustment is temporary. From now on, one draws back fist, it is to hit more strongly forward. This is operating for us to do short line using technical adjustment should be sober to remember.
5, notice the
Have not risen only the good city that does not fall , have not also fallen only the weak city that does not rise. It is the basic law of futures tendency to rise to fall for appearance. But rise falls to worsen but has the development of the two kinds of quality of the same sex:
A kind of is the change of general orientation, big liter tendency transforms big liter tendency into to fall tendency or fall tendency transforms into. It is this kind of to change direction , is usual with two tops or two bases and three times reach the limit or three times after all , first shoulder top or pour the forms such as first shoulder base, big round top or big round base to mark , belong to big movement , need normally the time that 3 weeks are one and a half monthes around to be pregnant with. The road of tradeWww, irich, com, cn www.irich.infoCollect
Another is technical adjustment in, big rise appearance in little fall or fall appearance little rise. It is this kind of to change direction , usually opens low receipt high with one , has the dark line of shadow it is many; Or one is low and open high to receive , is sign with the red line that takes off shadow when it is many , belongs to petty action, when a trade day completion, so, call single day to change direction.
It is to produce major original week that day turns to only to profit to return to spit out. A big rise tendency or big fall tendency, often from some little liter waves or fall wave composition. Rise falls a return to spit out one take off, after digesting , the rise that takes off a wave again falls. When the top of each little liter wave or little fall the base of wave, comparison is concentrated. Flat storehouse is sold or leveling storehouse to buy to enter cause single day to change direction.
The most special place that day turns to only , is it open market price and receipt market price to have connecting meaning , company rise jumps in the future again to leave empty open Gao Huo company fall jump in the future again to leave empty open is low, it is the first characteristic that day turns to only. The hurried liter tendency of this for continued many days or fall tendency has continuity, is in other words"Cheng". Possess floating profit open high afterwards buy home, it is low to take advantage of one after another to exceed goods by arbitrage , push market price , it is to turn by liter to fall the same day to form on the contrary with former a liter city direction; Or driving low possess floating profit afterwards sell home, it is low to mend storehouse flat storehouse to take advantage of one after another, it is high to snatch market price before, and a fall city direction is opposite, forming the same day is from fall to turn liter. This is the second characteristic that day turns to only. This for following few day technical adjustments little fall or little rise has instruction, is in other words"Start".
After single day turns to appearance, it is 30% to 50 that subsequent adjustment range is equivalent to former a liter normally or falls to delete. Relative to futures contract earnest money, assurance gets , profit is rather considerable. Therefore, when a ship urgent liter or fall urgently afterwards, will note whether the sign that single day turns to appearance. When the situation that day turns to only will determine that is close to to receive city, does nominal or is bull, may often gain from now on a few days fall to or liter.
Hold"Shoulder"Good
Is rise tendency and fall the climacteric of tendency, first shoulder top compares reliability is declining signal. Making clear first shoulder top form law, form characteristic and corresponding business strategy, may not only hold the important good opportunity of short sales, and, under opposite condition, also may basis pours the rising of first shoulder base signal, grab clear bull opportunity.
So-called first shoulder topABegin falling;BHave stood firm;ACountCPoint is the top ofBCount similarDStop , again lookAPoint differsEHalt , then turningBAndDTwo low points pull become Jing line, the entire tendency that is declining has formed. Such a graph, 3 high points are intermediate and highest , the exactly similar head and two side of a person are lower , are so called as like two shoulders according to image"Shoulder".
First, first shoulder top is produced"A wave"Rise tendency. Even if when
It is second , carries falling from the beginning, turn round again go up, after the price similar to left shoulder turning again urgently under straight, right shoulder becomes shape. Now, in a two shoulder areas, buying the contract that enters become , is profitless and huge to arise floating loss;
It is 3th, tendency falls to break Jing line, because entire first shoulder top is so as Jing line is base, have broken Jing line, first shoulder top all bull contract of area has been caught all in one draft , have a narrow escape without one. Nominal takes advantage of tendency to fall down to well next stone, bull one after another stop harm to agree to pay , make fall tendency aggravates.
A first shoulder top form , is for once fall tendency does spade work. Because of a big campaign, when plan needs , normally, needs one and a half monthes around , may be pregnant with type near 40 trade talents. Fall is at least equivalent to pretext top to Jing the distance of line.
Pawning left shoulder and head is a first shoulder top after coming out , if we doubt possibility , may go to do nominal. Will but set up to stop to harm, liter broken the top of the head surrenders. Because it is the liter tendency of a wave Gao Yi Lang to have proved , foundation is not what first shoulder top. When right shoulder has not broken into type Jing line; We may also estimate tendency can break line goes preemptively short sales, but will also set up , rise later to break the top of right shoulder stop harm is away from site, because it is genuine first shoulder top that development has shown tendency till then to be not , is phony for one to draw person to do deception. This trap may be other to meet!
7, pair
A literAPoint leavesBPoint is peak,CStaging aBCount similarDPoint forms anotherACountCPull to"Jing", become one to fall the prologue of tendency. This kind of tendency form carries because of having the top with two similar prices and so calling pair normally. Again because of its graph and English letterMIt is similarMCarry. Is opposite, whenWBase.MCarrying isWBase is reliable
Chart is the record of time and the price of tendency.
Why say two tops is strong is declining signal? Form because of pawning first top return the process that falls , affirm have to sell plate in large quantities march into the arena just make quotations takes off Cuo, in the area of first top buy plate already the jail of quilt cover. When price pick up to and first very similar price, if market buies the words of really vigorous air, should fly over peak , cause the situation of a wave Gao Yi Lang. However, the liter tendency of second wave could not the more thunder pool half step, have"Cloud horizontal"Sigh , turning urgently form second top directly. Apparently, this wave liter tendency already is winner Nu end, the big act of air force sends out , mad drive off to explode excessively; And what is more important is that the former jail in first very nearby quilt cover buy the very home to have a lingering fear , feel that second wave rebound is to return light to return to shine only, one sees price to be close , compete appearance take off , worry if the fish that escapes , therefore, two tops form , have reflected that after dare not value generally, the market of city is psychological, buying household lack in self-confidence , is timid to show. Break especially falling"Jing"Rear, entire decrease
Under opposite condition, two bases are the solid foundation of a rising tendency. When second base forms , shows that big city has found support to count , buies home to let go to stock with goods, when first base the person that sells so as"Loss"Mood is anxious"A wave"Motive power, stop fallWww, irich, com, cn www.irich.infoCollect
Sometimes, two top embryonic forms just form , quotations can also have relapse, turn round again go up, development becomes three times to knock barrier , become if again not break on twice expensive, convenient transformation"Reach"Is the phony gold opportunity of launching an attack. But no matter take advantage of two tops to do nominal or take advantage of two bases to do is bull, it will be good to stop to harm plate, eventuality wind cloud sudden change, wearing very broken base agree to pay , this shouts"Being careful".
Reach the limit
For the various tacticses of futures"Know it Ran", so, it then can
Three times reach the limit do not break to sell happen , three times arrive next wear to buy to enter, no matter when option market or stock market, had been regarded to make one of classical tacticses. Actually reason where?
Some meaning goes"Confidence". You when certain price buies to enter , signify that you have confidence for rear city; After reaching the limit three times, it is unmanned with higher price, buy to enter , expression for rear city lack confidence. On the contrary you when certain price sells , show that you are insufficient for rear city confidence; After three times after all is unmanned in order to kill more with low price, proof for rear city recovery confidence. All confidence weakens , popularity is lax, form to fall tendency; All confidence strengthening, popularity is vigorous , arises liter tendency.
It is not broken to claim three times to reach the limit , is caused by two strengthes: One carries nearby price, have powerful new sheet to sell plate; 2 is one reaches the limit department has person to do to profit return to spit out flat storehouse sell , three times do not break , explanation in top in leave empty to be at war buyer"Kick"," it is left to"Decline done in"Have arrived to reach the"Winner Nu end,". It is this to eliminate that length , will be to sell plate to gain upper hand. Is all right without difficulty to do nominal , only go with strong person. Conversely, three times are not worn after all , are to do bull good opportunity.
Secondly, reach the limit if arising three times broken tendency, obvious is big household completion distribution, distribution is high for big household to pull market price draws private investor to catch up to buy, so will self on hand go up bull contract transfer go to a kind of tactic on the hand of private investor, usually big household dispatches in turn , reach the limit three times , is that three La-Gao distributes , it is a kind of liter tendency false department to reach the limit each time. Reach the limit three times, big household is distributed almost"Carry"Department has covered many private investor of jail to buy home. Do not break , is that city tendency begins to look back , the person that buies in in top is doomed to want loss, this opportunity is sold , may be called wall to pour everybody push , matter half merit time. On the contrary, three times arrive is next to wear , often is big household wants to raise to restrain first, press the tactic that city inducts , will so buy with wind to enter.
Common"Do not be". Reach the limit because of three times with three times after all signal is too obvious, private investor believes thoroughly. Special condition big household can also draw person intentionally to get hooked , treat private investor mad Gu look back afterwards straight go up, or while small family buies , after even turning urgently straight take off. So reach the limit three times do not break to do nominal or three times after all during do not wear to do bull, will set up the instruction sheet of price limit at the premier time to stop to harm, if breaking to wear base very, agree to pay , have so sat back and relaxed.
9, big round
Big round top and big round base belong to the and chronic big city that graduallies change to turn to signal. The form of round top is: After a ship big liter tendency, quotations enters deadlocked state , has few amplitudes every day, wriggle first day by day upward , and then wriggle day by day downward , is forming a parabola coincidentally on day on line picture , then begin a fall tendency. On the contrary, the form of round base is: When Ship Yi falls , after tendency, tendency falls into ox-hide situation, daily fluctuation is not large, wriggle first day by day downward , and then wriggle day by day upward , is forming the shape of a pot base coincidently on day on line picture , can then arise a liter tendency.
In the various graphs that turn tendency , big round
It is first , is brewing duration , the supply and"Thing","Fou is"Periodicity expected
It is second , when in round top and round base the process of forming , conclude quantity everyday and do not level storehouse contract to decrease apparently; Buyers and sellers also Yi mood Lan Shan, so, the pace and rhythm that turns city look slow relatively.
It is second , big household when"It is small,"Characteristic, cause is from
Though round top and round base form is long-drawn-out,
10, refer
Ancient"It is necessary". When business futures, using chart,"Come", the city tendency"Go".
Tendency line has been traded person extensive
Every students, as attend ball land training,
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