Why will
Since since me many years are for stock , bond, the understanding of futures and foreign exchange comes to see. This kind of investment tool of foreign exchange has apparently characteristic and advantage.
A Its basic surface data is actual, and on taking over time, there is no too big discrepancy in different investor. Certainly, the thing that everybody knows can not judge with convention. But this knows self than others not know or know that have to be very slow to be much better.
B The trade of foreign exchange is more fair , does not be controled easily , also does not be easy to have been schemed to deceive. Because even if resembling the big crocodile like rope Luo Si, relative to entire market, it is also very tiny.
C, though, the business of foreign exchange of earnest1000Yuan400 thousandFirst possibility. What is more important is that risk may be controled. This is the point that we will explain mainly , risk control absolute not only is stop harm , controling for risk have no enough knowledge , do not carry out the trade of foreign exchange of earnest money.
D, foreignThe time needed for defending8Need not resemble ,
E, the process of the investment of foreign exchange has own understanding and understanding world-wide processes. Have only unceasing more thorough understanding self and understanding world, the investment talent of foreign exchange succeeds , and life will also go up to a new extent reached.
F, in some sense, non professional knowledge is more important than professional knowledge, this is the reason that many professors can not make money. When the other talents of aspect can also apply into the investment of foreign exchange, because will be faced with psychological and personality problem.
It is deep
When we arrive to change to remit company, change the time of remiting , we actually is doing the trade of foreign exchange. Changing to remit the direct influence of difference in degree of exchange rate go to our profit, so, the trade of foreign exchange is a very simple matter really.
But one side of the complex trade of foreign exchange also is apparently, because its influence and factor that influences the exchange rate of foreign exchange are machine made and very complex. There are many very powerful market main parts on this market, for example rope Luo Si, often attempt influence even control market, it is near that Ba-Fei-Te has lost recently2The America of 100 million round
The author recent when see New Zealander Chinese television station assemble completely virtue get rich history, two circumstances make the impression of the author very deep. One is good fortune assembles the old shopkeeper of virtue says: " one calls one, pay no attention to at the sound; Goods call one, not please since come. " boast to use high-flown words can not be long , through the service for that customer is true, it is just long road to let customer have true gains. 2 is a restaurant female boss jade young can do some very ordinary daily vegetables to like eating very much, this is equivalent to the simple part in the trade of foreign exchange also implication very deep reason, and this kind of reason is related closely with the life experience of everybody.
At the same time, the complex part in the trade of foreign exchange also is establishment is on the foundation of some most basic principles. Go from the easy to the difficult and complicated first, again from arrive deeply is shallow, can become big wisdom on the market of foreign exchange if foolish past master.
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Cannot the
Chinese is in New Zealand , often meets to face the risk of exchange rate. Even as the person that grows , it is also so, it is known that seeing Ao Ke Lan have how many Chineses to change to remit company. The change of exchange rate often directly concerns the money of people bag.10The RMB of 10 thousand the
For those have been the person of stock in domestic, have gone to New Zealand may also pay attention to foreign exchange, especially this kind of investment tool of foreign exchange of earnest money. Domestic the stock market when message disclosure, company's administration and investment returns etc. very in various as little investor is not fair very much, but foreign exchange( earnest money) is very fair, and the trade of foreign exchange is very free in New Zealand.
Stock analysis and the basic method of the analysis of foreign exchange are the same , may be sumed up mainly for technical analysis and basic analysis. The author is to see some big currency kinds as stock. Though, " every stock " is complex somewhat, but there are few kinds, seems than stock, it is relaxed somewhat , and does not be deceived easily.
What is more important20-400Time does business.1000U.S. dollar,20000-400000Make investment U.S. dollar. A lot of great1000U.S. dollar the market volatility that can be borne
Why meeting
1 It is incorrect to buy the motive entered and sold. Lift example, having study abroad medium has bought the 10 thousand Yuans more than 50 state China controls share, nearly having emploied him have idle fund. Reason is only that the boss of certain bond business department says that this stock is good. First this kind of news reliability worth-while doubt. Secondly even if believe , also should be not used all funds to buy this stock , before entering city, must consider first the risk problem controled and quited. Though he buies the time of entering price has only5Around Yuan,600It is many. This price10Time above. Obviously, it
Lift example again, the time of me in5There are50%( approximate5010 thousand ), it will soon be broken out that hearing of naval battle compete possibility, I want to cut meat to make department. I say naval battle to compete to say how many years , why do you now just notice this news? Why want is cuting meat as this low location? She has heard the words of me, afterwards river gets into stock have arrived6There
Is very obvious, many persons the reason of business stock not ample, motive is to have been convinced to try luck to get short line huge ill-gotten gains only, this kind of similar buy the mood of lottery ticket quilt banker ample use. I have gathered arrangement when being website editor to pass various newses , discover that really, the very interesting coordination degree of news and quotations is compared high, the sign of artificial manufacture is compared obviously. For example, in pulling liter process, especially highest point, it is around, advantage is compared well. And it is inhaling goods stage , even if having good news, had been also covered. For example2002The annual
2 A important means of risk control are prompt stop harm and profit to finish. But this two methods have cost , frequently use this two ways are often done by the person who does lever trade , but they often lose light slowly in using the process of this two ways. It how to be effective to be complex problem using this two tools, when this I can only say that they are very important, but will use correctly. Talk again after specific condition.
3 Follow the pace of banker to go , is done mad by rising , have been been declining to scare broken gall bladder. Lose correct judgment force, no longer think deeply conscientiously to rise and be declining the reason of behind. What is this reason? The reason of rising is main force has built storehouse or is building storehouse, or dispatch while pulling , is that what kind of nature wants to see the location of the cost district of main force actually as well as corresponding conclude quantity, company's basic surface and news surface, technical index and form. Will have a trade system in a word for quotations carry out comprehensive judgment. But what is regretful is that few investors establishment suit the trade system of own characteristic , or say decision-making system. And it is to feel at the same time , follows banker to go.
4 For the relation of risk and profit, have not known correctly. Advanced investment theory of world recognizes that risk and profit have corresponding relation. High risk high profit and low risk low profit are basic sayings. But what is more meaningful is that in investment process, will seek suitable risk profit proportion to concern. For example: If I think , gain30%, am I willing to undertake what loss? The condition in profit takes off , I whether is sober to realize , even if finally, I have not lost money, the disappearance of my profit is also a kind of risk? Do I think of method to protect my account surface and have gained?
5 Have not done research according to the way that suits own characteristic , time and energy input are not enough. This is not to say that investment is a matter of hard job, just like child, learning the same needs had been urged. It is just opposite, when you do research with the way that suits self , after getting progress and gains, you will discover that doing research is cushy job.
6 Hear the words of others too easily and commit mistake. There is time and not is the person that speaks level is not high , and is because he has not studied for your problem , or say merely casually. Believe the words of others if you plan , must detailed ask him why so say , it has what basis. Then, combine own judgment to do decision.
The relation that is thought of and is
The trade1)
Whole world has hundred millions of persons in trade foreign exchange every day , calculates according to the proportion of 1% , has the rise of ten millions of persons in forecast foreign exchange to fall , and these forecasts and trades still have time lag between person, therefore according to remit comment to carry out operation surely do not be all right.
As is self is carrying out trade , certainly, will rely on own judgment. People often say that forecast is not important , are so perhaps , but this does not mean that analysis is not important. The judgment for future quotations that only produces on detailed analysis foundation becomes operating basis.
From the means of analysis, technical analysis is known very much with basic analysis you. This kind of thing on various medias is too many, however binary Xi method professor that grasps very thoroughly the possibility that succeeds in actual combat is very little, this is why?
Basic analysis says that the basic surface of a country is good, its currency should be strong. Total come to see is so, but why is under the condition in a time that its basic surface has not occured major change , has its currency exchange rate gone through to big rise and fall? The time that technical analysis sends wrong signal is more.
Lose forest temple has announced many unique
The risk of the investment of foreign exchange more is not to lie in the very trade of foreign exchange, and it is to lie in the person of investment. The value of analysis tool more not lie in the analysis that it adopts means whether wise person, and it is to lie in whether the train of thought of the person that makes investment is wise. The loss of a part of person is caused by the another profit that divides person , narrow road meets , the wise person of train of thought wins.
It is very difficult to have not suited own only door military merit to subsist for a long time on the market of foreign exchange. Practice only door military merit to rely on experience , but should rely on correct train of thought.
WelcomeHairJohnnyforexwatch@yahoo.com.cnDiscussYour problem, your viewpoint,
Why do you
Technical analysis school is numerous, make person dim eyesight is confused, general investor understanding really does not be easy. For example, inferior when theoretical emphasis without difficulty is; On the contrary, theory says that the most persons are wrong; Random roam theory says that buyers and sellers is equal and clever, it may follow if market tendency foundation has no law. Worth theory to say that price takes off fluctuation on value; Theory of castles in the air of Keynes says price need not be in charge of value amount rise day to go up. Confidence is theoretical to emphasize the confidence that is hard to ponder , some rate theoretical emphatic that immutable proportions of golden section. Share price fluctuation is theoretical, wave theory and the stock market develop stage and growth period theory finds out the thing of regularity in the about fluctuation made great effort from price, but it is often to look at afterwards to understand that operability is lacked relatively. For example, wave will be prolonged , why can you know in advance?- - -Whom actually,
Tendency analysis and form analysis still have index analysis, is content very many , are that the specific project of every one wants to see? If need to want to see part, that how about find to suit self any? Even if having learnt few shapes, but, how about talent uses than others more well? After somebody says that sees tendency first , and then sees form, see index, so, have you reached?
About technical analysis and7Count- 9Some theme typeLevel12, Sofrana House396Queen St, Auckland( PRIZM) 396The side turn place of dining room high
Why do you
It is the analysis of countries macroeconomics data mainly to remit city basic analysis. Market always when wait trick as enact , then according to data, whether accord with expectation to go on operate.
But as a investor,1, I get the time of2, it can foresee if data6Month30Day rises to cease ( should say accord with
Is veryNOIt is more honest universal answer. As is so, is oftenNO.
Come and than wide space scope( other combination datas) since comparing long time scope to see price tendency and basic surface the condition of coordination, combine the relative location of price and tendency feature comes to judge big fund for data use direction and degree, it then can have better comprehension for data.
Rope Luo Si has said that the very basic surface is not important , the reaction of market for basic surface is just important. The reaction of market for data is not only to expect according to whether it suits obviously.
A data is a spray in long process only, only
Welcome attends7Count- 9Some theme typeLevel12, Sofrana House396Queen St, Auckland( PRIZM) 396The side turn place of dining room high
How establishment
Trade systematic saying is very popular, but it is a fog that the author believes many persons and has heard. This is very normal. Because it is lost again too that current trade system is too many , and can be accurate to know the trade system of business behavior.
Trade system3Kind. A kind of is open popular8Big rule is a operating system. The most technical index can help investor establishment can send operating system of business signal, but what is regretful is that this kind of effect of operating system is not obvious.
Second kind is business goes up by some organizations when the trade system of popularization or sales. For example, the victory dragon software etc. in stock. The author does not deny that these systems have condensed the painstaking effort of its development people , but instructs business to be impossible to become rich only according to software.
3th kind is really effective1, character-It is out of the common2, it is principled-Under following the prerequisite of basic3, confirm-Business signal send out do not rely4, practicality, it is basic
About the subject of trade7Count- 9Some theme typeLevel12, Sofrana House396Queen St, Auckland( PRIZM) 396The side turn place of dining room high
When a small number of people makes money foreign exchange market, how to accomplish are out of the common? Secret formula does not lie in analysis tool , and lies in establishment to suit your own trade system. It is intercontinental and financial to serve company(Www.ifscl.com) the China under7Arrive9Count the theme type salon
[Market]Stop harm
Stop the importance that harms the degree of having been emphasized in the trade of foreign exchange not uses to say. Stop the meaning of profit also explains easily. But in reality, stop harm and stop profit also often lets investor suffer loss, when low position has been shaken storehouse to make department and a big part quotations has eaten a little part is stop harm and stop the embodiment of the negative role of profit.
This two tools are must, but as all are using , its role depends on the way of application mainly. Frequently stop harm so that make department prematurely as well as frequently stop profit so that eat too lose is not good to feel. So when stop harm and in stop the appointment of profit should notice what problem?
First, it should be clear , stop harm and stop profit merely two supplementary tools, wining the key of money lie in still, is for the correct judgment of quotations. The no higher judgment of accuracy rate is basic, stop harm and stop profit can not bring how many benefits. This is why the most person uses this two tools , but the most person does not win the reason of money.
Technical analysis past master may the technical some position in key is nearby to stop to harm, instead of till regular percentage harm. The prerequisite of this kind of method can be effective to analyse with technology. For example, breakthrough crucial resistance position the following stop profit may be a little bit big , fall to break crucial support position the following stop harm should be little somewhat.
However very obviously, the suitable scope of this kind of method is less. Another kind of method sets up through judging the relative difference in degree of price to stop harm and stop profit. Is in low some and rising potentiality if feeling a kind of currency greatly, stop profit and stop harm should set up certainly a little bit high, at the same time stop harm position may along with the rising of price unceasing go up move. Otherwise, stop harm and stop profit should set up is little somewhat.
In a word, no correct judgment is foundation
WelcomeHairJohnnyforexwatch@yahoo.com.cnDiscussYour problem, your viewpoint,
[Market]Remit the
Rope Luo Si has said that basic surface6The reaction of month economic data, knowing this kind of saying true is very have reason. Association of ideas takes former a time popular the liter breath of Chinese the stock market expectation, the author feels for basic surface the deciphering of data does not follow surely to flow.
Say, many persons6Month non farming employment number increasing rate reduces little is beautiful round short line the chief offender that is declining. Deduce since coming logically, really so matter. But now, analysis report says "6Number increases11.210 thousand8Since month,15010 thousand("In non farming6Month data may be in risingJ.P. MorganAnalyst)". Since so saying , this data is sharp on the contrary well. Today, beautiful round tendency is also cooperated with very much, however when this falls , in the transition of rise, how many persons step and have allowed rhythm? Many persons are America after round add breath is declining initial stage dare not do empty America is round, etc. do empty beautiful round time America round begin to have risen.
Though, it is not so undisguised as the banker of the stock market to remit city speculative strength, however low position inhales chip and Gao Wei the reason of dispatch applies to every financial market and each investor. Very obviously on this market, a part of person has the better ability of deciphering for economic data and has influence for some tendencies of currency( especially little currency kind as well as when low position the currency kind inhaled a lot) under certain condition. The general investor of foreign exchange under the condition that does not have this kind of advantage awkwardness follow data to run , and it is to do super short line, export to possibility is big really.
When price in, time and this some space essential factors, price rise falls all see too many, time often by the factor of neglect. Treat new data if combining other messages in a longer time scope , effect should meeting is better. What is especially important is that combining market to see currency tendency is how to with basic surface data appearance coordination. A news, it is to decide by the relative price with located currency greatly to do good to or do good to to leave empty.
It is that those that buies a country does not come to to buy a kind of currency, the future of a country is obvious and certain some relation degree of certain economic data is not large; At the same time, is under more wide background ( basic surface and technical surface), the meaning talent of single data has been been more accurate to understand. Therefore need not follow certain data to catch up rise kill to fall.7/13
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[Market]Remit city
Simple say can or can not be rash. Because the market of foreign exchange is discovered easily by the example of control; At the same time in view of the fact that the trade of foreign exchange is concerned with the huge altitude of message of fund, the difficulty of the transparent, control market of foreign exchange is great, affirm that than control, a stock will be more difficult.
Stand still to come on the stand of rope Mr Luo Si to see the market of foreign exchange. Rope Luo Si is successful to have controled the tendency of some currencies. Even as now, the tendency of knob currency is also easy to control more than euro. In view of the fact that controling to remit the huge interests that city can get , the market of foreign exchange surely does not lack the person who wants to control , though at the most time, these persons has heart to be unable , but is under specific condition , the wind claimed from brave cloud since dragon, can also arise successful control example. The defect of Southeast Asian national economic atmosphere has brought up the successful control of rope Luo Si. Therefore the market of foreign exchange may be surely controled , is degree problem just. Because of foreign exchange market is formed by countless person, the object that the masses have been often controled. No matter the stock market, remit city and debt city , expect that city is so still on politics, otherwise why can a small number of people rise up? A important features of game and zero are that the most person is controled by a small number of people. The market of foreign exchange the possible control on fund comparison disaster, is but on the control of the psychology of person , point also not Xun the stock market. So, many persons say , when remit the mood of city battle is more important than skill.
The market of foreign exchange is been by the another successful example controled in last few years euro for America round the huge rise that amounts to. Look at high euro, have how many private investors when0.9Control plenty of buy to enter after euro hold patiently? Surely having many persons in this price buy into, but ability heart is few as holding. Is pushing the process of liter euro , speculative strength has utilized various tactics, for example first low position is mad to inhale euro, then using the euro chip further dozen on hand, press to inhale chip. Pass after it to push liter knob currency and Ao currency comes to push liter euro , press knob currency again through hiting and Ao currency comes to hit indirectly to press euro in order to inhale chip again. Then is magnificent euro continuously mad rise. Until now, have gone to the stage of enforcement and dispatch. Certainly, can accompany the exaggeration with good many advantages and momentary go up rush.
Many persons can express doubt for this process, because they think that the market of foreign exchange can not be controled. But important point is , though, the message of the market of foreign exchange is transparent, but it is fully effective to not represent this market( message can be prompt also appropriate quilt market reflection). The therefore basic news of surface can be still used exercise Zong the tool of market, because of basic surface the view of time, intensity and scope of the influence of news is not uniform. Speculative strength can not influence these newses , but can influence these views. Staring at instant economic data every day to chase the short line rise of market fall , surely have no meaning, because than others, slow too many. The author feels that the assurance for the overall economic political situation of a country will be more important somewhat.
Just because of the time of controling , being faced with the difficult, speculative strength of fund to often utilize the tactic of 1000 Jins of 42 groups run. The most of works are completed by the fund that follows wind. For example, when low position does two bases, let market fund introduce to , is comfortable by oneself to take a sedan chair.
Is natural, the most time speculative strength is resting and looking around , after all from the angle of control, opportunity is more rare. The clever person on this market is too many. Therefore saying that the market of foreign exchange can not be controled also have certain reason , do not be easy after all.7/12
WelcomeHairJohnnyforexwatch@yahoo.com.cnDiscussYour problem, your viewpoint,
SalonTOPIC
1, does what person
First certainly, there will be extra money. Since magnifying , this one starts fund and not needs a lot. Secondly, it is to measure own investment potentiality. Many persons can transplant the successful experience in other field on foreign exchange, but, many persons suit only to do financial investment. Therefore it is nearly impossible to be simple to give a standard. It is suitable that the investment failure of early stage can not also explain , because many great masters grow up from failure.
Actually make investment with other finances is the same, the most major standard is you whether for research the investment of foreign exchange is interested and wishes. Whether is willing to put in money and energy, wisdom. If before when have not studied and practiced with great efforts, always think of speculation only Bao rich possibility, that suggests you to be sober first. Get on the Internet to see the website in the aspect of foreign exchange moreover. When you for foreign exchange this one tool has got enough understanding afterwards, you will make more sensible judgment.- - -May combine audience
2, why will
Since since me many years are for stock , bond, the understanding of futures and foreign exchange comes to see. This kind of investment tool of foreign exchange has apparently characteristic and advantage.
C Its basic surface data is actual, and on taking over time, there is no too big discrepancy in different investor. Certainly, the thing that everybody knows can not judge with convention. But this knows self than others not know or know that have to be very slow to be much better.
D The trade of foreign exchange is more fair , does not be controled easily , also does not be easy to have been schemed to deceive. Because even if resembling the big crocodile like rope Luo Si, relative to entire market, it is also very tiny.
C, though, the business of foreign exchange of earnest1000Yuan400 thousandFirst possibility. What is more important is that risk may be controled. This is the point that we will spread out mainly , risk control absolute not only is stop harm , controling for risk have no enough knowledge , do not carry out the trade of foreign exchange of earnest money.
D, foreignThe time needed for defending8Need not resemble ,
E, the process of the investment of foreign exchange has own understanding and understanding world-wide processes. Have only unceasing more thorough understanding self and understanding world, the investment talent of foreign exchange succeeds , and life will also go up to a new extent reached.
F, in some sense, non professional knowledge is more important than professional knowledge, this is the reason that many professors can not make money. When the other talents of aspect can make investment with foreign exchange to carry out combination , because will be faced with psychological and personality problem. Is from this , foreign exchange practices for the mill of human nature in stock and bond, because your and hundred millions of world-wide persons are together equal to do business.
- - -In the process of
3, why will
- - -On the knowledge net of foreign exchange, it has a lot, it has on classroom on the net spoken. Is but in the times of message overflow , for general investor, to find for own really useful knowledge, do not be easy , how to understand are a problem. In the New Zealand of foreign exchange with so developed market, facing such one, there is the investment tool of repayment potentiality very much, it is a regret really to do not know. Know the knowledge of foreign exchange, is equal to concern your money. There are risk in the market of foreign exchange, but for some persons, market of foreign exchange has no risk. Have a kind of saying "( financial market) risk do not lie in the very market, lie in investor " have reason very much. Attend a lecture can let you for foreign exchange this one investment tool has got to untie , what is more important is that can let you know self whether may with a view to improve own financial situation with this tool. The process of the investment of foreign exchange has own understanding and develops the process of own potentiality. Rich economy knowledge is not the key of investment success, how to control own human nature are just the key of problem. Holding the mood of gamble on the market of foreign exchange try luck will defeat undoubtedly, therefore study is very important. The characteristic of our lecture combines the actual needs in operation have the solution of specific aim the problem of investor.- - - -May take
4, market popular
*Without- - -Is often betraied by " tendency ", know because of waiting for the most person is tendency time, turn tendency often will soon occur. Do you, on this market, have the tendency that may rely on? Have you the tendency that a most person approves? Genuine tendency can only use by a small number of people , therefore should believe own eye , do not believe the tendency that others says.
*" set up to stop to harm ", words describe very round, because of stop to harm have put " well". Therefore risk is little. But vital part still needs not to be this , we ask a problem first: If harm more than, others can gain your money really? When90In times, do the evolution form that city business system becomes global banker system most perfectly, its core use the popular feeling in-depth stop harm idea , pass through others to stop constantly to harm make money This is the trend of speculative market, also now go on. So, stop the essence that harms is what? How to do you make to stop to harm? It is just the key of problem, this is not the method of a speculation , but is the one of ultimate proposition that speculative needs are solved.
5, enter the preparation before city. May imitate trade first , and combine own condition to study related knowledge. Just begin to need not throw money or throw money less , but must put in time and energy , and have enough interest. This is one knows to go the road of wealth , this on the road trap is not generally speaking that elephant is so designed by a little crowd persons on the stock market, and it is often investor own mood and behavior causes. Therefore so long as controling self, when walking , may rest assured.
6, mood has many viewpoints about this problem, on net. All may go to see. However, it is two different matters to discuss to do. Saying that should have the mood of what mood and reality often have difference. It also has gap between mood and profit and loss. It is greedy( should get better receive , prompt stop profit) and fear( should prompt stop harm ) often by the object of attack, but at the same time stop harm and stop this profit two tools have not brought benefit to the most person. The more quilt the thing of extensive application( for example unitary percentage stop harm- - -Actually stop harm unique not only is a simple tool), its value is low. What mood and the experience of investor self and personality should be related closely , have not suited the answer of all person. But there is a most basic principle, will accomplish objective. Can not, because of doing by oneself on psychology, resist the tendency of market that is declining. Besides, still accomplish simple. Mood is not prejudiced , but is to train in practice. It is greedy and horrified real unpardonable evil? This is the natural instinct of person, why do you want strenuous and own natural instinct to resist relatively? Why do you do not use own natural instinct? I feel the best mood is dependable as trying hard to study and practice , instead of hear others to say what mood self should have. It is unreliable that this mood problem has no. Feel the more unreliable have no confidence the more for self, but mood over should the foundation of the character that is establishment in self. I gets the ideological influence of Buddhism and Taoism deeply , believes that the reason that complies with nature may just succeed in the market. And natural prerequisite is to accept self , is known by oneself , is then revised with initiative. Chairman Mao says that this one has no savior on world , is only leant always by oneself. This is not to say that should not accept outside help , but is to go to absorb outside nutriment mainly with me, according to own a few of conditions. Actually on this market, have no secret formula, Palestinian not special and rope Luo Si is not to rely on the success of secret formula, performance, training and the knowledge of being to lean them for own character.
7, risk
Risk has no place not when. It is strange that this sentence words all affirm. But what to be done? A method is to buy insurance( stop harm is a kind of insurance). From the experience of my self, it is not worthwhile to buy insurance. Or preventing mainly, adopt some means. Downstairs, first control tool and method for some present popular risks on market to carry out a next elaboration. First is stop harm , each trade will set up to stop to harm[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [Stop the importance that harms the degree of having been emphasized in the trade of foreign exchange not uses to say. Stop the meaning of profit also explains easily. But in reality, stop harm and stop profit also often lets investor suffer loss, when low position has been shaken storehouse to make department and a big part quotations has eaten a little part is stop harm and stop the embodiment of the negative role of profit.
This two tools are must, but as all are using , its role depends on the way of application mainly. Frequently stop harm so that make department prematurely as well as frequently stop profit so that eat too lose is not good to feel. So when stop harm and in stop the appointment of profit should notice what problem?
First, it should be clear , stop harm and stop profit merely two supplementary tools, wining the key of money lie in still, is for the correct judgment of quotations. The no higher judgment of accuracy rate is basic, stop harm and stop profit can not bring how many benefits. This is why the most person uses this two tools , but the most person does not win the reason of money.
Technical analysis past master may the technical some position in key is nearby to stop to harm, instead of till regular percentage harm. The prerequisite of this kind of method can be effective to analyse with technology. For example, breakthrough crucial resistance position the following stop profit may be a little bit big , fall to break crucial support position the following stop harm should be little somewhat.
However very obviously, the suitable scope of this kind of method is less. Another kind of method sets up through judging the relative difference in degree of price to stop harm and stop profit. Is in low some and rising potentiality if feeling a kind of currency greatly, stop profit and stop harm should set up certainly a little bit high, at the same time stop harm position may along with the rising of price unceasing go up move. Otherwise, stop harm and stop profit should set up is little somewhat.
In a word, no correct judgment is foundation
]
Secondly, it is the control of1/10. This and the stock market goes up scatter the saying essence of investment is the same. However, I does not believe the saying that risk may reduce through scattering. The investor that fund loses relatively for input1/10Is this proportion meaningful? And above reason is the same, is under the condition for self that judgment correctness assurance is high relatively , half storehouse operation is normal. Certainly, in one trade, storehouse position exceeds50%Condition should be few, genuine worth-while half storehouse above even the opportunity of full storehouse is few. The control of storehouse position also should establishment when on the judgment foundation of quotations, need not be limited in some popular proportions. If assurance is compared , storehouse position may be heavy somewhat. Somebody says that this proportion is the risk that forbidden to avoid quotations judgment , but has not exceeded if self feels successful probability50%, should not do50%1/10Proportion
In a word, the key of risk control does not lie in the choice of tool( tool everybody can use ), judgment and the accurate understanding of being to lie in for market, suit own operating rule for establishment as well as the control of own behavior.
8, plan
I often sees the saying of planned and systematic etc. on the website of foreign exchange. Its meaning is to carry out operation according to plan instead of operating rely on momentary subjective feeling. System may remedy the weakness of human nature with plan, etc.. See that this thing is so good, I feel that is very curious and that but, it is what thing actually? The saying of finding afterwards is " establishment suits own operating plan, must this strict conducted plan ", it must not be still main points. Afterwards, see that one does operating system of futures, so asEMAndPMThe relation ofEMAndPMActually, are you what? Keep secret! To here, I feel plan it is too unreliable to have been described with system. Because great master has said that investment will accomplish simple and clear, this thing does so mysterious, and allegedly, still often send out to buy enter signal and sell signal, it is seems not credible.
Line system seemingly accords with8Does big rule do not be planned content? Problem is to have the mechanization of a kind of omnipotent clever quality of property of medicine, is program operating as melting to plan? My operating plan seems , is more more broad than this one, and it is expanding constantly. I feel that basic surface is analysed and that technical surface is analysed , as well as psychoanalysis etc. are to seek basis for the angle of never same operation of identical market and put forward explanation, can not separate come to treat various analysis tools , and it is to combine self characteristic according to this accurate judgment market goal to make up various analysis methods and improves constantly, this is the best system. As to that whatEMPMMysterious system, as well as other do not know that is the system of what thing, it is not reliable. The self that only establishes on self characteristic and certain principle foundation wisdom is just really reliable. The really effective system that suits self is perfected constantly along with the development of self.
8, foresee
I see on website a lot forecast and the saying of operating opposition. Popular saying is to foresee that future has no meaning. To pay attention to current market, according to market present situation, adopt action. This kind of saying lets me remember a word , is called " hold now ".
However, it has deviation very easily for the understanding of this kind of saying. Say that is that it is very valuable to let one pay attention to now. But does forecast really have no meaning? Actually, isn't operating time to stress on future profit? Now, become immediately to pass , will become current in the future. I feel that is forecast with the saying of operating opposition to make an unnecessary move. A this kind of antagonistic important reason is that the accuracy rate of forecast is too low, and the defect of this kind of low accuracy rate is often remedied through the movement on operation( for example stop harm ).
From the experience that the author does analysis , do not foresee that the future is impossible, the change that comes from because of profit and loss in the future. The judgment for future quotations( forecast) is operating and basic, and in operation, should consider to foresee wrong possibility. We can not is wrong because forecast is possible do not foresee- - -Take
9GBPNZDJPYThe tendency
Talk about
When8Being not the condition of strong farming employment number increase in month take off , America round for other major currency kind appearance substantially rebound. Add beautiful round early stage to compare ample go down , now for beautiful round optimistic mood on technical surface and basic surface, there is support.
Last8Month Chicago buying manager8Apply for the number of unemployment6Month7.810, 7Month7.310(Correction)Arrive8Worth14.410Really a great
However in market because advantage8Month non farming employment data can not still explain that America is round to begin to turn on the contrary, temporarily as strong rebound, it is still more reasonable somewhat, because the finish of " temporary rest " of American economy still remains the confirmation of other datas. Therefore operating last now does many Americas round should pay attention to stop profit. If other datas are good in general, may raise the price continuously. However if other datas differ from comparatively, America round is declining is very possible, especially when the sharp good quilt of short period overdraw afterwards. See from another angle, for the most currency, last Friday America round under non farming employment data stimulate big rise than America round in last Tuesday technical return the range of tune is still little, this also explains for a data can not hope that is too many.
Euro district( newest manufacturing, the data in the aspect of industrial order and employment not good) with Britain( foreign trade and retail sale data are not quite good, the risk of real estate is big, interest rate is far higher than to know to expand rate) present basic surface problem is more, once beautiful round data is good, the unfavourable influence received will be greater. Even technical form is last, euro and pound sterling are also left empty. Swiss recent economic data is good, Rui light relative more strong possibility comparison is big. Day is round and continuously empty , is partially because Japan is newest to get job , price and the datas such as retail sale and family expense are left empty , and day round devaluation accords with the interests of Japan.
It is half that adding the firstUSD/CADNear some months since disadvantageous is veryUSD/CADWhen1.6Nearby Gao Wei stopover too for a long time.USD/CADWill get stronger
Ao first last week no important data enactsGDPIncrease speedAUD/USDIt3The pair since monthGBP/USDIt is similar,
Limit to because ofPleaseJohnnyforexwatch@yahoo.com.cn(24In hour, will reply , forYour problem, your viewpoint,
See from
America is
As this fence expects8Month dense west root university consumer's confidence index super expectation is a factor no doubt, but prime cause or early stage falls , have fierce tendency, there is the requirement of rebound on technology. However last week, beautiful round news surface is not too good. Concerning employment and consumption, the data of house sales and durable article order does not make one optimistic , is covered only by technical rebound , so does not catch the attention. Market is waiting8Is not the news in the aspect of farming employment number data as well as republican nation-wide meeting in month. Actually genuine worth-while etc. is not these newses, because of investor for these newses is unable to help; And it is the reaction of market for these newses.
Though America unites to store up many name American economy weak is temporary, but this one may make various explanation and performance temporarily, the America of early stage round fall is for this one temporary obvious sarcasm. It is the problem that the large countries such as beautiful Japan are faced with together that in 2 quarters, economy increases to put , it is the normal phenomenon in the process of economic resurgence, but this is a big frame, in which, it can still have many relapses. Moreover actually economy weak whether " temporary " have not gotten confirmation yet. Therefore short line for America round optimistic mood has control. The author7Since the end of month, always refer to beautiful round short line risk, a important reason is the uncertainty of American economic resurgence. However along with the passing of time, it is little that this kind of uncertainty will reduce gradually, because " temporary " get new trial constantly. When non farming employment number continuous some months the condition that drops substantially takes off , America8Month non farming employment number meaning looks more major. Now, have no ample reason to believe that this data can improve substantially, therefore present beautiful round rising can only regard as to exceed to fall rebound treats.
USD/JPYAspect, the appreciation of round dayFrom the data of recent two months, JapaneseCPIDowntrend has not changed , recently, the possibility of Japanese liter breath is close in zero. According to authoritative news, the balanced point of profit and loss of Japanese export enterprise when104Control, the interval110-120Between. Though, these newses have reference meaning only, but when day the condition that round basic surface and technical surface lack support takes off , Japan will not give day, is round to offer how many supportsUSD/JPYTendency depends
GBP/USDWith8The forecast of beginning of the month is the same , has been completed into the construction of first shoulder top form. Its economy relies on being faced with greater risk too for real estate; It is led that interest rate far exceeds to know to expand, rising space is limited. Therefore should keep highly alert.
Limit to because ofPleaseJohnnyforexwatch@yahoo.com.cn(24In hour, will reply , forYour problem, your viewpoint,
8/28
Beautiful
It is half that7Month house7Construct6It is many that7MonthCPIIncreasing8Month consuming8The month7The datas such as month leading index and oil price are left empty. The obviously beautiful tendency and these datas of round last week between do not have simple linear relation, not say therefore well because of certain data how, so beautiful round tendency how. If the deciphering of market tendency is so and simple, it is too easy that that stir-fries to remit.
See from a longer7Month data6Month appearance put slow sign, this has increased shelf old about the American economic credibleness of puting slow saying merely temporarily. At the same time America round near future some of fall have released it greatly is faced with is declining risk. The nominal of early stage when data the overall condition that turns next enforcement profit too normal however. Therefore last week America round for above-mentioned advantage leave empty to look not sensitive is in reason.
Though recently, beautiful round short line tendencyGBP/USDStill when honestEUR/USDEndure2Month- 5Month fall3Month go up attack also repeatedly have no merit return. As far as America is concerned, add possibility and the space of breath to be larger than euro district obviously , should be too enough for the confidence of euro.
Financial deficit and the regular project deficit of America have become the problem that Ba-Fei-Te and high flourishing etc. giant see the really reality of empty beautiful round major basis and this , unless enough foreign capital flows to enter , have to pass through many hairs otherwise America round come to solve problem , actually America always when so do.
If not combine market tendency to discuss that these advantages are many, leave empty with advantage , can let one commit confusion really. However, the good tendency in currency is decided completely by these newses. Just because is favorable and empty , it is so bull to will not be too mad; Just because is favorable and many , nominal must know to stop before going too far. Market main behavior is just most crucial. This is military like two to battle against each other , that armed forces of powerful national power not definitely win , isn't China that dozen has won America? Naval battle competes to hit also not definitely lose , battle-field commander and armed forces transfer , is also very crucial for victory.
Total look , non America bull in last few years revelry is at least regarding as the reflection for American two deficits surely on degree, the first half of this year these bull have carried out a part of account surface profit afterwards, borrow America6Month30It is big that day rises to cease range as well as soon afterwards some advantage leave empty again for America round initiation attack, they should also rest. The two deficits of America are not the two years of one year having no who to say have the huge two deficits that can not rise , this year2Month5Month America
8/22
U.S. dollar
U.S. dollar6Month30Day the tendency since liter breath is soul-stirring6Month7The non farming6The month tendency of unfavorable balance of trade etc. for U.S. dollar has very big influence, but follow these datas to go but is slow one step always, always miss big quotations , even often produce big loss.
Just like market, it is always waiting for important data, but data should be not quilt, together with the most person, it is passive to wait , why can you become a small number of people that makes money? A data no matter is so important, also merely a currency is for a spray in long tendency. Want proud upright first tide really, must pay attention to than the wave of more broad spray. For mostly holding a plate of tactic, not resemble special field to hold , in a plate of hand in skilled investor, rely on the fluctuation of short period that data goes to participate in short period , is the matter of a danger. Therefore we come first to see that U.S. dollar is near10Year comes
Believe2001Since year around huge fall still lets many investors have very strong feelings. Only add American economy based on this kind of condition to arise obvious recovery sign in the first half of this year, think U.S. dollar has seen base have been more universal market atmosphere.
However90Times2001In year, it is around, U.S. dollar is for2001Year since U.S. dollar fall is inferior. Single clump historical tendency comes to see , can only say that U.S. dollar is bull to be in more safe area, however Fou can overwhelm nominal still remain to confirm. Not whether accept , the current long-term rising potentiality of U.S. dollar is larger than is declining possibility, but for the investor who does the trade of earnest money , even if less is declining possibility is also sufficient to let many ones make department. In therefore when value U.S. dollar for a long time at the same time, for the fluctuation of short period of U.S. dollar, cannot also overlook.
U.S. dollar begins to add breath to begin3Week controls is declining7Month last ten-days period again when under shelf Lin Si Pan the optimistic encouragement of speech spreads out counter-attack( rising range unexpected). But unfortunately is , shelf old speech has gotten 2 quarters one after anotherGDP7Month increases6The datas such as month unfavorable8Month10The liter breath
Though it is so, can not also say that shelf Lin Si Pan has been wrong. Because American economy is possible and merely temporary to rest , he has not said how long this one is temporarily, investor can not also negate the fine expression of the American economy of the first half of this year because of this some datas. The process of economic resurgence original not is smooth sailing in all endeavour. The reaction of market for data is more more important than the very data, it been untying that the equation that relies on for the very data too many does not have easily.
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8/16
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8/7
[The market]DiscussUSDFuture
The8Month2The doubt of Japanese Zhang Zhong for shelf Lin Si Pan had been confirmed. Partner Luo Jie Si of rope Luo Si does not take seriously tens of years ago for the words of shelf Lin Si Pan. The reason of pay attention for the words of shelf Lin Si Pan is because market can pay attention instead of him, say that it is so correct to have.
GBP/USDIs close8Month3Day says1.8489The speed of location7Is not farming employment data in month to come out for eve, market situation is more simple. Since the author has deeper understanding for the economic atmosphere of America, so, makes judgment easily. However current market has recognized American economy disadvantageous.
The7Month27Day has said in beautiful round rise tendency " as beautiful round early stage is declining the role that no sufficient reason causes current shelf old to give a speech has been exaggerated is the same, soon afterwards beautiful round advantage leaves empty is high by the possibility exaggerated again. Such aftermath is and has the most person, have no to step on accurate rhythm , in coming few weeks, America is round and bull to be compelled to change the possibility of direction greatly. This just accords with this market a small number of people make money law. " this sentence words when is recently near10A trade has gotten verification in day, now has no signEASY MONEY.
Welcome attends7Count- 9Some theme type3,026.057Appointment)Or send mail to johnnyforexwatch@yahoo.com.cnDiscussThe travel of your investment of foreign
8/7
[Market] GBP/USDNear future
The author several days ago when pound sterling in is declining the economic data that has said Britain obvious good in America, therefore pound sterling is declining further is the very good opportunity of buying into pound sterling. Though, the author has not given to issue the receipts and payment of body , count position, but at that time considering for the possibility of the rising of pound sterling is should.
NewestIt7MonthCIPS/Road thorough( PMI)Is56.3Make1994Year10Count0.6MonthPMICorrection55.This has supported British
It is the viewpoint of resting temporarily that the author still agrees with the American economy of shelf Lin Si Pan, however, the time of this kind of rest has been sufficient to let America round, produce larger fluctuation.
The author believes , because7Month19The range adjusted400Count , this1.83Under continuity does many pound
From day onGBP/USDSince5Month14Since day, it is building a first shoulder top form , now, being being in form the process of right shoulder. See from this angle, pound sterling challenges the left point of shoulder height probably again in near 1 month1.8489Will take place soon afterwardsAWave is declining. Mid-term comes
8/3
[Market]AmericaGDPData by the
The author last Wednesday in when beautiful round strong tendency has said short line to do beautiful round risk is greater, this has gotten the verification of market. It is that one has the matter of risk very much that however, the rise of forecast market falls , today as tomorrow not definitely as. Go to reader since the author makes forecast to accept and make reaction , market condition has changed probably. Therefore the author though the unavoidable trend of wanting for rear city the viewpoint that gives self , but what genuine worth-while reader pays attention to is that the author in writing for the analysis of present situation.
It is in theGDPData enacts afterwards, America round have7Month employment data is moreGDPSo important data had been described carelessly , possibility sells America to shield big fund is round. This namely, though, the data on the market of foreign exchange is true, but for the explanation of data, often deceive person. The ability that fund influences market public opinion is far larger than its control to remit the ability of price , therefore should not think that the market of foreign exchange is fair market. From bull angle, now sell America round can with the rise with previous enforcement, have may be more calm to face the impact of employment data. If employment data is not good , now, it is correct certainly to sell; If employment data is good, it is round to be able to also buy again with lower cost into America. It is being faced with the employment uncertainty with greater data this one as well asGDPNot good condition takes off data,GDPData is not sensitive and is at the time of waiting for employment data , a small number of people has begun to have taken action , and this kind of action is established on the foundation for that the most person benumbs efficiently.
The most person the passive wait data of meeting enact and follow big flow out adopt action, obviously, this is to have no advantage may speech. When this a small number of people the market that makes money , no advantage signifies to compensate money.
Some analysts7Month employment3010 thousand. For the correctness of this4The non farming employment7Month gets the torsion of ultimacy.
Now( New8Month2Day10Point) should do do empty America still is round? Is very obvious, now America round is declining do not deserve to be participated in. There is a suggestion may to let the friend who likes to do short line reference, if America round when employment data enacts eve to fall have to compare murder, not Fang when set up less stop the condition that harms takes off do is many, otherwise may do leave empty. So, the space of loss is little, but the space of profit is big.
8/2
[Market]Short line continuity
America7Shelf old optimistic speech and the7Month consumer's7Month23Pawning week on3.5%, but7Month24Day7Retailing for0.3%. Explain that retail increase speed is slowing down. The nominal of beautiful round rising and early stage returns to mend have close relation. Therefore the author still believes that the altitude of the rebound of beautiful round short period is limited. This kind of rebound is still the correction for that the liter breath of early stage is declining afterwards. Though in America round value for a long time, but in short period, the probability that is declining after rebound is still higher. Major reason is the speech of shelf old and7The new high essence7Month employmentGDPData is
Certainly, as the investor probability of the accuracy that judges future data, it is not definitely high. Follow market to judge future data is surely insufficient well badly with this as operating basis. The author feels this beautiful round rebound intensity, will not still have other reason greatly. Very obvious market as6Month30Day American liter breath has better to expect that this advantage is empty to have carried out the performance with larger intensity, it is round that many investors have thrown America, this is now why have more nominals to return to mend the important reason of support beautiful round rising. Should say when do leave empty and return in mend process, the most investor has suffered a loss , because American liter ceases , have better to expect that this advantage is empty and that this shelf old speech advantage has exceeded the expectation of the most person for the influence of market , causes the most person to have not steped on accurate pace. But having very understand is , as beautiful round early stage is declining the role that no sufficient reason causes current shelf old to give a speech has been exaggerated is the same, soon afterwards beautiful round advantage leaves empty is high by the possibility exaggerated again. Such aftermath is and has the most person, have no to step on accurate rhythm , in coming few weeks, America is round and bull to be compelled to change the possibility of direction greatly. This just accords with this market a small number of people make money law.
Certainly, the realization of this7The essence meaning of month new data
7/28
[Market] GBP/USDShort
Though, America is roundGBP/USDPotentiality
See thoughGBP/USDSince2001Year6The rise since month,GBP/USDIn long-term situation is far from good, but the intensity of discovering economic resurgence and the economic atmosphere of Britain and seeing the British-U.S. economic data of two countries since the beginning of this year is stronger than the American. With America6The obvious deteriorationPPIAnd the important datas6The conditionCPIPPIRPI, employment and retail5,6Month liter7Month has not risen to cease. From short period, the possibility of British further liter breath is larger than America. Foreign country and the huge trade deficit of America capital flows enter slow down the risk that this two unfavourable factors bring for being sufficient to offset British huge housing mortgage loan( this kind of risk is geting restraint because of the continuous liter breath of Britain).
The short line of pound7It is weak that month new data7Month important data7Month data6Month has obvious7Before month data enacts
7/22
[Market]Beautiful round
America round rise on schedule, even the earnest money of the author is simulated, account also turns profit by loss. Current problem is , the mid-term of non America disadvantageous whether establish since then?
The speech of shelf Lin Si Pan undoubtedly6Month30Day falls afterwards6Month data weak is temporariness,
However, his speech7The data meeting of month is how6Month new6Month architectural7Retail sale data in6Month data weak7Month. Even as the one time little adjustment
The author today still sees about beautiful round two advantages is good, one is Iraqi discovery weapons of mass destruction, 2 is euro for America round stop to harm plate will enlarge beautiful round rise( this advantage applies to other currencies well) further after had been triggered. This two advantages look too flat well , and are not material and sharp well , give person a kind of affected feeling on the contrary. Is in the aspect of firm offer , the author thinks originally when0.64Nearby change a part of knob currency into U.S. dollar, but afterwards, think that emit the 1 or 2 monthses such as a risk still. After all, the trade deficit of America still puts in there, America this round few days also rebound is a lot of. Shelf old " temporary " do not know how long is , he open expression fuzzy is his one of goal, so, do not emit still7Month data the
The viewpoint- -Value for a long time in American
7/22
[Market] EUR/USDCannot
WhenUSDLittle goesEURLast Friday reappears6MonthCPIData is5Month foreign investor buies completely the American bond value entered to drop substantially also for America round becomes pressure. However America round after last week little rebound disadvantageous is still6Month30After day beautiful round liter breath falls the continuity of tendency. This time, the range that is declining will not deepen too many. Major reason is the current economic atmosphere of euro district is not how about. Italian consumer employment export is weak; Though, France is better, but5Month consumer expense and employment arise decrease; Employment and the consumption of Germany always do not shake , are external and environmental as exporting to arise the sign of deterioration, especially Asian demand put to postpone. Entire euro district6Menses Ji data is not good , and compared with euro district economic structure, American efficiency is lower , need to be reformed. Therefore it is very little that euro district adds the possibility of breath recently.
Apparently, the economic strong recovery of the first quarter of the year of euro district exports mainly since being , its background is the economic more fast increase of Asia and America, go up with demand. Along with America, especially Asian demand, it is increased to put slow, euro district6Menses Ji increase also puts obviously to postpone. Since consumption and employment still do not shake , for euro, can not be still optimistic. Compare with America , the economic increased foundation of euro district will be more fragile obviously.20
Is other,5The rebound range2Month5Month is0.618The position1.2475. Now, it has7/19 10:30
[Market] NZD/USDReturn light
It is6Month SituationsRetail sales , construct permission as well2004Have risen3, its influence7Month29Can say knob currency7The liter since beginning2-5Its basic surface and the strong tendency of month data is consistent, near future return tune however being liter breath range and pace is not as good as expectation as well as return to spit out the result of the rise of early stage ,6Month economic data tendCPIData causes America below expectation
The macroeconomics2003In year, the meaning of the strong tendency of first half of the year is different. American economy is from low position rebound, it is very wide to add breath space; And New Zealander economy has arisen the phenomenon that Gao Wei Zhi rises , it adds breath space, have been rapid to meet ceiling. Combination since two currency kinds in last few years in tendency, long term should do which kind of currency not use to say.
When on the assurance of the fluctuation of short period, should notice basic surface the relation between message and tendency is not straight line. Tendency can still get the influence of the behavior of market participator. The mainstream psychology of market is basic surface the result of message and market tendency common role. Use and the control for this kind of psychology are the goals of many big organizations. Remit city although is hard to control , person is influencing market with different way , and it can often have some effects. Should not overlook therefore this. New currency last week since first weak rear winner, is a kind of return light to return to shine, while new currency rebound reduces storehouse, is sensible strategy.7/19
[Market]About America,
Recently, the author discovers that values
It is round2000Since year, appearance worsens
Economy has2-5The strong tendency of month
This have no
This logic is very reasonable, but fearful
A wavelength issue rise considerably, the
Is America round to go to push? Answer
There can be many relapses. The key goal
Currency kind knob is first and Ao Yuan
Go to America round for knob currency
For is the long term investor of firm
For short line trade person, especially
Doubt. For example, America round near
Is so stipulated. Especially stop the
It
Additionally, the pace of American economic
.6Month economic data unsatisfied make
Initiative. Such- -If America round is really
The factor of
Know America round can rise in the few
Does person
7/3
It is deep
When we arrive to change to remit company, change the time of remiting , we actually is doing the trade of foreign exchange. Changing to remit the direct influence of difference in degree of exchange rate go to our profit, so, the trade of foreign exchange is a very simple matter really.
But one side of the complex trade of foreign exchange also is apparently, because its influence and factor that influences the exchange rate of foreign exchange are machine made and very complex. There are many very powerful market main parts on this market, for example rope Luo Si, often attempt influence even control market, it is near that Ba-Fei-Te has lost recently2The America of 100 million round
The author recent when see New Zealander Chinese television station assemble completely virtue get rich history, two circumstances make the impression of the author very deep. One is good fortune assembles the old shopkeeper of virtue says: " one calls one, pay no attention to at the sound; Goods call one, not please since come. " boast to use high-flown words can not be long , through the service for that customer is true, it is just long road to let customer have true gains. 2 is a restaurant female boss jade young can do some very ordinary daily vegetables to like eating very much, this is equivalent to the simple part in the trade of foreign exchange also implication very deep reason, and this kind of reason is related closely with the life experience of everybody.
At the same time, the complex part in the trade of foreign exchange also is establishment is on the foundation of some most basic principles. Go from the easy to the difficult and complicated first, again from arrive deeply is shallow, can become big wisdom on the market of foreign exchange if foolish past master.
Cannot the
Chinese is in New Zealand , often meets to face the risk of exchange rate. Even as the person that grows , it is also so, it is known that seeing Ao Ke Lan have how many Chineses to change to remit company. The change of exchange rate often directly concerns the money of people bag.10The RMB of 10 thousand the
For those have been the person of stock in domestic, have gone to New Zealand may also pay attention to foreign exchange, especially this kind of investment tool of foreign exchange of earnest money. Domestic the stock market when message disclosure, company's administration and investment returns etc. very in various as little investor is not fair very much, but foreign exchange( earnest money) is very fair, and the trade of foreign exchange is very free in New Zealand.
Stock analysis and the basic method of the analysis of foreign exchange are the same , may be sumed up mainly for technical analysis and basic analysis. The author is to see some big currency kinds as stock. Though, " every stock " is complex somewhat, but there are few kinds, seems than stock, it is relaxed somewhat , and does not be deceived easily.
What is more important20-400Time does business.1000U.S. dollar,20000-400000Make investment U.S. dollar. A lot of great1000U.S. dollar the market volatility that can be borne
Actually, the trade of foreign exchange is not mysterious , when we arrive to change to remit company, change the time of remiting , we actually is doing the trade of foreign exchange. Changing to remit the direct influence of difference in degree of exchange rate go to our profit, so, the trade of foreign exchange is a very simple matter really.
But one side of the complex trade of foreign exchange also is apparently, because its influence and factor that influences the exchange rate of foreign exchange are machine made and very complex. On this market, many very powerful market main parts have also increased the complexity of market for example rope Luo Si often attempt influence even control market, it is near that Ba-Fei-Te has lost recently2The America of 100 million round
The author recent when see New Zealander Chinese television station assemble completely virtue get rich history, two circumstances make the impression of the author very deep. One is good fortune assembles the old shopkeeper of virtue says: " one calls one, pay no attention to at the sound; Goods call one, not please since come. " boast to use high-flown words can not be long , through the service for that customer is true, it is just long road to let customer have true gains. This is also the service aim of our company. 2 is a restaurant female boss jade young can do some very ordinary daily vegetables to like eating very much, this is equivalent to the simple part in the trade of foreign exchange also implication very deep reason, and this kind of reason is related closely with the life experience of everybody.
At the same time, the complex part in the trade of foreign exchange also is establishment is on the foundation of some most basic principles. Go from the easy to the difficult and complicated first, again from arrive deeply is shallow, can become big wisdom on the market of foreign exchange if foolish past master.
8/11
Merchant
[Market]DiscussUSDFuture
The8Month2The doubt of Japanese Zhang Zhong for shelf Lin Si Pan had been confirmed. Partner Luo Jie Si of rope Luo Si does not take seriously tens of years ago for the words of shelf Mr, so, the reason of pay attention for the words of shelf Mr is because market can pay attention instead of him, say that it is so correct to have.
Near the8Month3In Japanese1.8489( reality1.8481) the speed of locationGBP/USDTendency judge than7Is not farming employment data in month to come out for eve, market situation is more simple, all are waiting for this data. Since the author has deeper understanding for the economic atmosphere of America, so, makes judgment easily. But now, condition is different, the disadvantageous common recognition of American economy that has become the most market participator , America round have also appeared to slump.
The7Month27In Japanese Zhang have said in beautiful round rise tendency " as beautiful round early stage is declining the role that no sufficient reason causes current shelf old to give a speech has been exaggerated is the same, soon afterwards beautiful round advantage leaves empty is high by the possibility exaggerated again. Such aftermath is and has the most person, have no to step on accurate rhythm , in coming few weeks, America is round and bull to be compelled to change the possibility of direction greatly. This just accords with this market a small number of people make money law. "
This sentence10A trade has gotten verification in day, the sign not made clear now still shows this kind of situation in last few days can change , therefore in the future, it is feasible that few days do more empty more beautiful more round comparison, however, should keep highly alert. See if combining wave theoretical and form theoryKThe words of line
8/7
Merchant
[Market] GBP/USDNear future
The author several days ago when pound sterling in is declining the economic data that has said Britain obvious good in America, therefore pound sterling is declining further is the very good opportunity of buying into pound sterling. Though, the author has not given to issue the receipts and payment of body , count position, but at that time considering for the possibility of the rising of pound sterling is should.
NewestIt7MonthCIPS/Road thorough( PMI)Is56.3Make1994Year10Count0.6MonthPMICorrection55.This has supported British
It is the viewpoint of resting temporarily that the author still agrees with the American economy of shelf Lin Si Pan, however, the time of this kind of rest has been sufficient to let America round, produce larger fluctuation.
The author believes , because7Month19The range adjusted400Count , this1.83Under continuity does many pound
From day onGBP/USDSince5Month14Since day, it is building a first shoulder top form , now, being being in form the process of right shoulder. See from this angle, pound sterling challenges the left point of shoulder height probably again in near 1 month1.8489Will take place soon afterwardsAWave is declining. Mid-term comes
Merchant8/3
[Market]AmericaGDPData by the
The author last Wednesday in when beautiful round strong tendency has said short line to do beautiful round risk is greater, this has gotten the verification of market. It is that one has the matter of risk very much that however, the rise of forecast market falls , today as tomorrow not definitely as. Go to reader since the author makes forecast to accept and make reaction , market condition has changed probably. Therefore the author though the unavoidable trend of wanting for rear city the viewpoint that gives self , but what genuine worth-while reader pays attention to is that the author in writing for the analysis of present situation.
It is in theGDPData enacts afterwards, America round have7Month employment data is moreGDPSo important data had been described carelessly , possibility sells America to shield big fund is round. This namely, though, the data on the market of foreign exchange is true, but for the explanation of data, often deceive person. The ability that fund influences market public opinion is far larger than its control to remit the ability of price , therefore should not think that the market of foreign exchange is completely fair market. From bull angle, now sell America round can with the rise with previous enforcement, have may be more calm to face the impact of employment data. If employment data is not good , now, it is correct certainly to sell; If employment data is good, it is round to be able to also buy again with lower cost into America. It is being faced with the employment uncertainty with greater data this one as well asGDPNot good condition takes off data,GDPData is not sensitive and is at the time of waiting for employment data , a small number of people has begun to have taken action , and this kind of action is established on the foundation for that the most person benumbs efficiently.
The most person the passive wait data of meeting enact and follow big flow out adopt action, obviously, this is to have no advantage may speech. When this a small number of people the market that makes money , no advantage signifies to compensate money.
Some analysts7Month employment3010 thousand. For the correctness of this4The non farming employment7Month gets the torsion of ultimacy.
Now( New8Month2Day10Point) should do do empty America still is round? Is very obvious, now America round is declining do not deserve to be participated in. There is a suggestion may to let the friend who likes to do short line reference, if America round when employment data enacts eve to fall have to compare murder, not Fang when set up less stop the condition that harms takes off do is many, otherwise may do leave empty. So, the space of loss is little, but the space of profit is big.
Merchant8/2
[Market]Short line continuity
America7Shelf old optimistic speech and the7Month consumer's7Month23Pawning week on3.5%, but7Month24Day7Retailing for0.3%. Explain that retail increase speed is slowing down. The nominal of beautiful round rising and early stage returns to mend have close relation. Therefore the author still believes that the altitude of the rebound of beautiful round short period is limited. This kind of rebound is still the correction for that the liter breath of early stage is declining afterwards. Though in America round value for a long time, but in short period, the probability that is declining after rebound is still higher. Major reason is the speech of shelf old and7The new high essence7Month employmentGDPData is
Certainly, as the investor probability of the accuracy that judges future data, it is not definitely high. Follow market to judge future data is surely insufficient well badly with this as operating basis. The author feels this beautiful round rebound intensity, will not still have other reason greatly. Very obvious market as6Month30Day American liter breath has better to expect that this advantage is empty to have carried out the performance with larger intensity, it is round that many investors have thrown America, this is now why have more nominals to return to mend the important reason of support beautiful round rising. Should say when do leave empty and return in mend process, the most investor has suffered a loss , because American liter ceases , have better to expect that this advantage is empty and that this shelf old speech advantage has exceeded the expectation of the most person for the influence of market , causes the most person to have not steped on accurate pace. But having very understand is , as beautiful round early stage is declining the role that no sufficient reason causes current shelf old to give a speech has been exaggerated is the same, soon afterwards beautiful round advantage leaves empty is high by the possibility exaggerated again. Such aftermath is and has the most person, have no to step on accurate rhythm , in coming few weeks, America is round and bull to be compelled to change the possibility of direction greatly. This just accords with this market a small number of people make money law.
Certainly, the realization of this7The essence meaning of month new data
Merchant7/28
[Market] GBP/USDShort
Though, America is roundGBP/USDPotentiality
See thoughGBP/USDSince2001Year6The rise since month,GBP/USDIn long-term situation is far from good, but the intensity of discovering economic resurgence and the economic atmosphere of Britain and seeing the British-U.S. economic data of two countries since the beginning of this year is stronger than the American. With America6The obvious deteriorationPPIAnd the important datas6The conditionCPIPPIRPI, employment and retail5,6Month liter7Month has not risen to cease. From short period, the possibility of British further liter breath is larger than America. Foreign country and the huge trade deficit of America capital flows enter slow down the risk that this two unfavourable factors bring for being sufficient to offset British huge housing mortgage loan( this kind of risk is geting restraint because of the continuous liter breath of Britain).
The short line of pound7It is weak that month new data7Month important data7Month data6Month has obvious7Before month data enacts
Merchant7/22
[Market]Beautiful round
America round rise on schedule, even the earnest money of the author is simulated, account also turns profit by loss. Current problem is , the mid-term of non America disadvantageous whether establish since then?
The speech of shelf Lin Si Pan undoubtedly6Month30Day falls afterwards6Month data weak is temporariness,
However, his speech7The data meeting of month is how6Month new6Month architectural7Retail sale data in6Month data weak7Month. Even as the one time little adjustment
The author today still sees about beautiful round two advantages is good, one is Iraqi discovery weapons of mass destruction, 2 is euro for America round stop to harm plate will enlarge beautiful round rise( this advantage applies to other currencies well) further after had been triggered. This two advantages look too flat well , and are not material and sharp well , give person a kind of affected feeling on the contrary. Is in the aspect of firm offer , the author thinks originally when0.64Nearby change a part of knob currency into U.S. dollar, but afterwards, think that emit the 1 or 2 monthses such as a risk still. After all, the trade deficit of America still puts in there, America this round few days also rebound is a lot of. Shelf old " temporary " do not know how long is , he open expression fuzzy is his one of goal, so, do not emit still7Month data the
The viewpoint- -Value for a long time in American
Merchant7/22
[Market]Stop harm
Stop the importance that harms the degree of having been emphasized in the trade of foreign exchange not uses to say. Stop the meaning of profit also explains easily. But in reality, stop harm and stop profit also often lets investor suffer loss, when low position has been shaken storehouse to make department and a big part quotations has eaten a little part is stop harm and stop the embodiment of the negative role of profit.
This two tools are must, but as all are using , its role depends on the way of application mainly. Frequently stop harm so that make department prematurely as well as frequently stop profit so that eat too lose is not good to feel. So when stop harm and in stop the appointment of profit should notice what problem?
First, it should be clear , stop harm and stop profit merely two supplementary tools, wining the key of money lie in still, is for the correct judgment of quotations. The no higher judgment of accuracy rate is basic, stop harm and stop profit can not bring how many benefits. This is why the most person uses this two tools , but the most person does not win the reason of money.
Technical analysis past master may the technical some position in key is nearby to stop to harm, instead of till regular percentage harm. The prerequisite of this kind of method can be effective to analyse with technology. For example, breakthrough crucial resistance position the following stop profit may be a little bit big , fall to break crucial support position the following stop harm should be little somewhat.
However very obviously, the suitable scope of this kind of method is less. Another kind of method sets up through judging the relative difference in degree of price to stop harm and stop profit. Is in low some and rising potentiality if feeling a kind of currency greatly, stop profit and stop harm should set up certainly a little bit high, at the same time stop harm position may along with the rising of price unceasing go up move. Otherwise, stop harm and stop profit should set up is little somewhat.
In a word, no correct judgment is foundation
[Market]Remit the
Rope Luo Si has said that basic surface6The reaction of month economic data, knowing this kind of saying true is very have reason. Association of ideas takes former a time popular the liter breath of Chinese the stock market expectation, the author feels for basic surface the deciphering of data does not follow surely to flow.
Say, many persons6Month non farming employment number increasing rate reduces little is beautiful round short line the chief offender that is declining. Deduce since coming logically, really so matter. But now, analysis report says"6Number increases11.210 thousand8Since month,15010 thousand(";"In non farming6Month data may be in risingJ.P. MorganAnalyst)". Since so saying , this data is sharp on the contrary well. Today, beautiful round tendency is also cooperated with very much, however when this falls , in the transition of rise, how many persons step and have allowed rhythm? Many persons are America after round add breath is declining initial stage dare not do empty America is round, etc. do empty beautiful round time America round begin to have risen.
Though, it is not so undisguised as the banker of the stock market to remit city speculative strength, however low position inhales chip and Gao Wei the reason of dispatch applies to every financial market and each investor. Very obviously on this market, a part of person has the better ability of deciphering for economic data and has influence for some tendencies of currency( especially little currency kind as well as when low position the currency kind inhaled a lot) under certain condition. The general investor of foreign exchange under the condition that does not have this kind of advantage awkwardness follow data to run , and it is to do super short line, export to possibility is big really.
When price in, time and this some space essential factors, price rise falls all see too many, time often by the factor of neglect. Treat new data if combining other messages in a longer time scope , effect should meeting is better. What is especially important is that combining market to see currency tendency is how to with basic surface data appearance coordination. A news, it is to decide by the relative price with located currency greatly to do good to or do good to to leave empty.
It is that those that buies a country does not come to to buy a kind of currency, the future of a country is obvious and certain some relation degree of certain economic data is not large; At the same time, is under more wide background ( basic surface and technical surface), the meaning talent of single data has been been more accurate to understand. Therefore need not follow certain data to catch up rise kill to fall.7/13
[Market]Remit city
Simple say can or can not be rash. Because the market of foreign exchange is discovered easily by the example of control; At the same time in view of the fact that the trade of foreign exchange is concerned with the huge altitude of message of fund, the difficulty of the transparent, control market of foreign exchange is great, affirm that than control, a stock will be more difficult.
Stand still to come on the stand of rope Mr Luo Si to see the market of foreign exchange. Rope Luo Si is successful to have controled the tendency of some currencies. Even as now, the tendency of knob currency is also easy to control more than euro. In view of the fact that controling to remit the huge interests that city can get , the market of foreign exchange surely does not lack the person who wants to control , though at the most time, these persons has heart to be unable , but is under specific condition , the wind claimed from brave cloud since dragon, can also arise successful control example. The defect of Southeast Asian national economic atmosphere has brought up the successful control of rope Luo Si. Therefore the market of foreign exchange may be surely controled , is degree problem just. Because of foreign exchange market is formed by countless person, the object that the masses have been often controled. No matter the stock market, remit city and debt city , expect that city is so still on politics, otherwise why can a small number of people rise up? A important features of game and zero are that the most person is controled by a small number of people. The market of foreign exchange the possible control on fund comparison disaster, is but on the control of the psychology of person , point also not Xun the stock market. So, many persons say , when remit the mood of city battle is more important than skill.
The market of foreign exchange is been by the another successful example controled in last few years euro for America round the huge rise that amounts to. Look at high euro, have how many private investors when0.9Control plenty of buy to enter after euro hold patiently? Surely having many persons in this price buy into, but ability heart is few as holding. Is pushing the process of liter euro , speculative strength has utilized various tactics, for example first low position is mad to inhale euro, then using the euro chip further dozen on hand, press to inhale chip. Pass after it to push liter knob currency and Ao currency comes to push liter euro , press knob currency again through hiting and Ao currency comes to hit indirectly to press euro in order to inhale chip again. Then is magnificent euro continuously mad rise. Until now, have gone to the stage of enforcement and dispatch. Certainly, can accompany the exaggeration with good many advantages and momentary go up rush.
Many persons can express doubt for this process, because they think that the market of foreign exchange can not be controled. But important point is , though, the message of the market of foreign exchange is transparent, but it is fully effective to not represent this market( message can be prompt also appropriate quilt market reflection). The therefore basic news of surface can be still used exercise Zong the tool of market, because of basic surface the view of time, intensity and scope of the influence of news is not uniform. Speculative strength can not influence these newses , but can influence these views. Staring at instant economic data every day to chase the short line rise of market fall , surely have no meaning, because than others, slow too many. The author feels that the assurance for the overall economic political situation of a country will be more important somewhat.
Just because of the time of controling , being faced with the difficult, speculative strength of fund to often utilize the tactic of 1000 Jins of 42 groups run. The most of works are completed by the fund that follows wind. For example, when low position does two bases, let market fund introduce to , is comfortable by oneself to take a sedan chair.
Is natural, the most time speculative strength is resting and looking around , after all from the angle of control, opportunity is more rare. The clever person on this market is too many. Therefore saying that the market of foreign exchange can not be controled also have certain reason , do not be easy after all.7/12
[Market]About America,
Recently, the author discovers that values
It is round2000Since year, appearance worsens
Economy has2-5The strong tendency of month
This have no
This logic is very reasonable, but fearful
A wavelength issue rise considerably, the
Is America round to go to push? Answer
There can be many relapses. The key goal
Currency kind knob is first and Ao Yuan
Go to America round for knob currency
For is the long term investor of firm
For short line trade person, especially
Doubt. For example, America round near
Is so stipulated. Especially stop the
It
Additionally, the pace of American economic
.6Month economic data unsatisfied make
Initiative. Such- -If America round is really
The factor of
Know America round can rise in the few
Does person
Merchant7/3
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