2008年3月13日星期四

2 shells Mi cost-effectiveness

70.612Make carbinol production1Ton carbinol1.5-1.8Ton produces500It/Ton controls1000It/Ton controls3000It/Ton, this is huge interests1.8Ton carbinol1Ton petrol, and in reality,1.4Ton is1Ton petrol,6000It/Ton,3000It/Ton is1Ton carbinol3000It

Luo river petroleum chemical10010 thousand tons3100 million Yuan35100 million2.6100

Now, Luo river1510 thousand tons of scale and product are sold

70.611In Coal system oil industry( riskCoal system oil project2228U.S.

Now, on world, it hasSASOLCompany has very2006Compose oilRm25.649billion, moistenRm13.499billion, after seeking52.63%. According6Annual coal75010 thousand1Orchid=0.139U.S. dollar is calculated475U.S.

We think , demonstration project successful operation(Solicit)2020In year, oil300010 thousand

Make oil project for supernatural China coal, after the base of this year is established , estimating to at least want the running-in more than one year expect , may just reach expected index step by step.

70.60170.601Why 2 shells Mi2002It is been below2010 thousand tons development goes to present domestic to mount a horse one after another million ton level installation? 2 shells Mi have which advantage, development prospect how to, in the China of current stage, are you faced with which opportunity and challenge? The author will when the eleven point of what follows Xi.

- -2 shells Mi

( market)Though 2 shells Mi when vehicle uses fuelNaturalIt is obvious to

Shandong for a long time10010/2 annual shells15010/YearCarbinolInstall , cost price is very low. Since800It/Ton, 2 shells1400It/Ton following. Along with petroleumLiquidPrice5000It/Ton controlsIs in civil fuel3000It/The 2 shells of ton

70.41 thousandFriend is modest to show , 2 shells Mi is a kind of clean fuel of replacing liquid gas, may replace coal gas and liquefied petroleum gas to be used in civil fuel. 2 shells Mi the economy as liquid gas that replacing fuel has pretty. Now, the price of liquefied petroleum gas when5000It/Ton, 2 shells3300It/Ton(Its price change).( raw2 shells Mi is1.5Ton carbinol12 ton shells Mi, therefore

61.008 ( cost-effectiveness)Is from the angle consideration of economy , under the equal condition of calorific value calculate different crude price 2 corresponding shells Mi production protect this cost, show as a result, at present60U.S./The crude price of barrel takes450It/Ton can get profit. Melt if40U.S. dollar,LPGAnd diesel oil replace

60.927( cost-effectiveness)Is from the angle consideration of economy , under the equal condition of calorific value calculate different crude price 2 corresponding shells Mi production protect this cost, show as a result, at present60U.S./The crude price of barrel takes450It/Ton can get profit. Melt if40U.S. dollar,LPGAnd diesel oil replace

60.91860.918The high background
銆€( cost-effectiveness)銆€As we have learned, according to now800-1000It/Ton, 2 shells1800-2000It/Ton controls ,4000First / ton controls , now5000First / ton above, therefore, 2 shells Mi go to
60.81860.815Analyst thinks , petroleum price rising has opened 2 shells Mi etc. the development of new-type replacing energy space. 2 this shells Mi project land place Inner Mongolia E Er many Si cities, coal resource is enriched, already verified deposits takes Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region50%, whole17%, project production possesses cost advantage;2.25-2.5Ton coal1.5-1.6It is been12 ton shells Mi production45010 thousand675-75010 thousand200010 thousand42010 thousand tons of shell Mi is sufficient1010 thousand tons following, company's program produces

Information shows , along with the unceasing rising of crude price, 2 shells Mi when civil fuel and vehicle show huge potentiality with the replacing aspect of raw material, country reinforcement as coal chemical industry support intensity, resemble in recent yearsGLu dayGOrchidGDay waits is developingGLu day melts 2GOrchidGDay becomes2008Year2009Go intoGLu day melts2500It/Ton, producer4000It/Ton and profit ability space are greater; Land the coal covered in place price is more cheap, company's supplemental coal production one of which may reduce market to buy coal trade cost, secondly, may shorten supply distance , reduce the uncertainty that lets coal and transport cost, company since produce coal supply 2 shells Mi production makes 2 coal base shells Mi the cost of project comparativelyGLu day melts etc. the cost

As ordinary industrial chemicals, 2 global shells Mi output is few, but as crude price rise considerably, 2 shells Mi fine physical performance makes it have realized civil fuel and vehicle to use raw material replace , 2 shells Mi with civil fuelLPGPhysical performanceLPG, and have combustion ample , have no incompleteIIIEmission standard belongs to clean7000It/Ton and relative2500Multivariate price is

銆€銆€( cost-effectiveness)Consider from production cost, 2 shells Mi production cost depend on the production cost of carbinol mainly, according to now the 2 coal base shell with carbinol as intermediate article Mi production technology, the production cost of carbinol when800-1000It/Ton, 2 shells1800-2000It/Ton controls. Produce1500-1600The natural1.5-1.6Ton carbinol1The 2 shells of0.6It/The calculation1300It/Ton controls ,2500It/Around ton, the present price of natural gas of our country is lower, on the price of natural gas, tune has become tendency, then, carbinol and 2 shell Mi cost will also go up constantly. From this, may find out under, compare , it is taking coal as the carbinol of the production of raw material and 2 shell Mi have certain cost advantage.

Analyst points out , etc. northwest coal base production 2 shells Mi the cost advantage that shows , actually have gone to the profit enrichment of coal production 2 shells Mi production link; As the substitute of diesel oil, it is relative5400It/The price of diesel3600It/Ton just has4500It/The 2 shells around ton Mi the competitiveness of market price is still more weak. Besides, domestic and international investment for 2 shell Mi project gather may cause market competition aggravate and market price decrease, influence project profitability.
60.81206081 billionSubstitute burns , is angry to meet hindrance, seize the market of diesel oil, put up vehicle to break out of an encirclement to become 2 shells Mi a great expectation of enterprise. 2 shells Mi substitute diesel oil uses in automobile field need not reach Europe after handling emissionIIIStandard, this makes reduction 2 shells Mi

( cost-effectiveness)Effect is soft rib.2/3, this signifies to only2/3Can just attract automobile5400It is first,3600Below ton, it can just5000It/Ton. Problem not have

60.801銆€銆€( technology)Go up the firewood power central vice-director century Li-Wei-Xiang Shanghai bond newspaper of research and development of products to introduce , on engine test Taiwan result see , 2 shells Mi engine power and the engine of diesel oil match , it is even better; The index of environmental protection goes up , 2 shells Mi engine emission reaches EuropeIIIStandard has realized to have no smoke degree emission completely; Fuel economy comes to see , convert into oil to consume match with diesel engine, the very engine, last firewood power goal is when engine realization quantity postpartum, increase its cost to control when20%Control.

2 shells Mi automobile the truckload equipment that need to still increase pressure container , transports pump, Shanghai states Wo bus company's internal-combustion engine expert Cao Chang shakes probably truckload cost than EuropeIICost increases410 thousand

Shanghai states Wo bus(China)Investment limited company and Swedish

2 shells

2 shells Mi automobile potential consumption market

When technology canIIIConsiderable condition takes off the vehicle of diesel oil, 2 shells Mi price become 2 shells Mi automobile whether the important factor of big scope popularization. According to last firewood power analysis, 2 shells Mi calorific value is more low than the diesel oil , when 2 shells Mi price is the price of diesel oil2/3, the automobile fuel of two

銆€銆€( cost-effectiveness)But actually, the 2 shells

Domestic production 2 shells

Analyst thinks that since Chinese natural gas"3 wests"( Shanxi and Shaanxi , cover west), and coal is in east consumerly and south. This characteristic has increased the transportation cost of Shanghai consumer coal. It is each ton of to produce coal district hollow price200It is multivariate, a ton of coal arrives from

Such calculate comes , Shanghai

When 2 Shanghai shells in Mi automobile industrialization chain, the biggest coal chemical enterprise Shanghai China friendship group company's subordinate company's Shanghai scorch limited company in China takes the responsibility for supplying 2 shells Mi. Since having present domestic scale, it is biggest2010T/aCarbinol production installation,50002 ton shells Mi installation,

This4Month, Shanghai scorch limited company

The Shanghai scorch< xml:namespace prefix=st1 ns="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags"/>< personname w:st=on productid=浠昏阿>Take< personname/>Mr has calculated one2500Yuan2600It/Ton and1.5Ton carbinol12 ton shells Mi,3750It is first , adds installation4500Yuan is

銆€銆€0The price4.47It/Rise.1The ton5386It is first. If according to2/3Consumer is just willing3608Yuan following, consumer is just willing4000It/Ton above.

On the other hand, 2 shells7000It/It is2500First price is lacked , manufacturer

銆€銆€< personname w:st=on productid=璋?Thank< personname/>Mr thinks , 2 Shanghai shells Mi automobile may be under the promotion of government , in the city system of public transportation, can get utilization better. But now, Shanghai car consumption market is limited. 2 shells Mi automobile potential consumption market should be near 2 shells Mi production base, in the place of rich coal reserves. Is so, can reduce 2 shells greatly Mi production cost.

China friendship5The 2 shells1000The demonstration"Satisfaction industrialization"

Civil market

Each Chan mix 2 a1000Arrive2000It is first,

( application)But energy place of production now also does not have development 2 shells Mi the power of automobile industry. Urge because of geting profit, these 2 present shells Mi manufacturer is happy 2 shells Mi when civil fuel sales, do not be willing

2 domestic biggest shells Mi manufacturer Shandong the for a long time safe chemical Joint Stock Limited Company of science and technology, using the autonomous technology of research and development, establish one after another to produce per year5000Ton ,310 thousand1010 thousand tons of project is put in production.

It has60Many homes civil burn angry1The 2 shells of 10

The seller4300Yuan4500The first10%-20%2 shell Mi enter liquid gas,6300To6500It is first, each2000Though, Yuan5500It is first,1000ItAt the same time, Chan mix to do not need

New Ao group personage reveals4010 thousand tons of 2 shells Mi project. Now, company is negotiating with international financial group , wants to lead into the side of the joint venture of world. According to plan, the 2 shells produced Mi will be pulled to east and south is coastal, regard as civil fuel sales.

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