Recently, sugar
Recently, Guangxi produces district to encounter natural calamity , causes sugarcane serious reduction of product , makes market press season sugar output for domestic to drop in production considerably to expect reinforcement, promotion Zheng Tang futures continued unilateral strong tendency Biao liter in, achieve in succession is long-term and recently high. This Guangxi sugarcane reduction of product, cause domestic sugar supply demand relations to occur worse turning.
Guangxi has occured massive freezing,1400The mu of 10 thousand,60%Sugarcane cut40%Different degree is hit by a natural
Is hit by a natural calamity2007Year10Month2008Year4Press the raw material400Many mus of 10 thousand. It is rear that receiving freeze , sugarcane squeezes the weather of overcast and rainy that rate will drop and lasts , have influence for transporting , because of the help of raw material not go up, some sugar refinery can only suspend processing. Second kind grows bud for sugarcane influence, this part of sugarcane sprout is2008Year2009In year, the raw material100The mu of 10 thousand. 3th kind is old root sugarcane, old sugarcane, this also concerns next one to press season sugarcane output , according to estimate, this part of is hit by a natural calamity area when400Many mus of 10 thousand. Is hit by a natural calamity this time scope is broad , area big, duration length, Guangxi is hit by a natural calamity area reaches half, this year, Guangxi sugarcane reduction of product has at the same time also influenced next one into foregone conclusion to press the output of season. It is expected that range is reduction of product10010 thousand
Guangxi whole district800The mu of100The mu900The whole district80010 thousand tons, if do not implement in time , will press the sugar of season seriously under influence to produce. This the condition of a disaster far exceeds the expectation with original market, specific loss remains to evaluate further besides the sugar output damage of this year, since sugarcane and kind sprout receive , is frozen and heavier , is faced with insufficient risk, take off press season sugarcane and sugar output to be faced with reduce risk considerably. The weather of later stage changes , for have not reaped sugarcane , especially grow sugarcane and kind sprout growth disadvantage, consider the autumn dry influence of last year for that sugarcane produces again, this year estimated total output may since135010 thousand123010 thousand124010 thousand tons125010 thousand tons had been broken by this domestic sugar market basic balance of supply and demand, if the continued enlargement of later stage of the condition of a disaster, supply demand relations even possibility from superfluous turn to drop behind demand.
Up2008Year1In the end of month,684.4910 thousand600.8510 thousand tons),336.3310 thousand tons(382.3110 thousand49.14%( go up63.63%). Each year's January1Accumulate in50%Output2Month will80%Take nation-wide60%Guangxi get serious snow calamity, sugarcane will drop in production massively , therefore may expect , book presses season domestic sugar output will arise the reduction of product with greater range.
The internationalISO) think2008To2009Refine10Month9Month) the situation2007To2008Refine sugar111010 thousand tons transforms balance into will reach basically, though refining sugar for year, global sugar trade excesses to measure still greater but global sugar production and consumption , is expected to get obvious improvement. The recently international impact of oil price100U.S. dollar and sugar biological energy are speculative and again reinforced , are valued in view of American alcohol price, alcohol import increases probably continuously, Brazil presses season recently, will still produce alcohol mainly, sugar will be gone down with sugarcane proportion , international sugar supply pressure is alleviated probably obviously.
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